0x859d767c37bf86f90483d716b10e25e054931c9c
0x859d767c37bf86f90483d716b10e25e054931c9c
- Realised P&L
- $18.22
- Volume
- $154.26
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $19.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State: O/U 53.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.906 | $17.09 | +$7.66 |
| Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.090 | $1.87 | −$8.54 |
| W100 Edmond, OK: Nadia Podoroska vs Varvara Lepchenko · Nadia Podoroska | 0.500 | 0.004 | $0.12 | −$13.76 |
| Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Botic van de Zandschulp (+1.5) · Rafael Jodar | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally · Caty McNally | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.74at 0.500Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$6.71at 0.500Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally
- +$5.60at 0.500Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:58 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.50 |
| 10-14 08:04 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally | SELL | 0.99 | $13.55 |
| 10-14 06:43 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar | SELL | 0.999 | $11.22 |
| 10-14 05:49 | Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Botic van de Zandschulp (+1.5) | BUY | 0.018 | $0.13 |