PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

imakaroshk

0x8591dff7642baae789e6d685cb327b31a2699abe

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$174.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat? · No0.9730.986$59.95+$0.76
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No0.9500.953$59.34+$0.16
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.944$55.09+$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 13:06Dream vs AcesBUY0.45$250.20
08-14 09:57Ethereum Up or Down on August 16?BUY0.5$323.00
05-29 08:09Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?BUY0.5$493.00
05-26 11:46Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers BangaloreBUY0.57$554.04
05-20 11:25Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan RoyalsBUY0.52$837.20
05-19 13:53Mets vs. Red SoxBUY0.55$624.25
05-09 09:30Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?SELL0.002$1.68
05-06 07:42Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?BUY0.76$638.40