imakaroshk
0x8591dff7642baae789e6d685cb327b31a2699abe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $174.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat? · No | 0.973 | 0.986 | $59.95 | +$0.76 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.953 | $59.34 | +$0.16 |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.944 | $55.09 | +$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$603.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on June 27?
- +$493.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?
- +$417.96at 0.570Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$393.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on June 24?
- +$323.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 13:06 | Dream vs Aces | BUY | 0.45 | $250.20 |
| 08-14 09:57 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $323.00 |
| 05-29 08:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $493.00 |
| 05-26 11:46 | Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore | BUY | 0.57 | $554.04 |
| 05-20 11:25 | Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals | BUY | 0.52 | $837.20 |
| 05-19 13:53 | Mets vs. Red Sox | BUY | 0.55 | $624.25 |
| 05-09 09:30 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.68 |
| 05-06 07:42 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9? | BUY | 0.76 | $638.40 |