PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

yaop

0x858725c9bef8b96fff97b3eeb21b54615da86228

Realised P&L
$-0.39
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$14.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.705$14.10+$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 06:29Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.55$11.00
10-17 05:01Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend?BUY0.5099999341$2.40
10-08 10:11Will Israel strike Iran on Monday?BUY0.999000001$2.00
09-13 09:24Trump wins every swing state?SELL0.84$0.98
09-13 09:24Titans vs. JetsSELL0.63$1.93
09-13 09:24Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.996$2.5k
09-13 09:12Trump wins every swing state?BUY0.8499994475$1.00
09-13 09:12Titans vs. JetsBUY0.6499999025$2.00
09-13 09:11Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.997$2.5k
09-13 09:09Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?SELL0.76$0.28
09-13 09:09Will $BTC reach 70k before October?SELL0.9$1.95
09-13 09:09Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?SELL0.958$3.99
09-13 09:09Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL0.998$2.5k
09-13 08:58WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)BUY0.64$0.28
09-13 08:57Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?BUY0.7699995486$0.29