yaop
0x858725c9bef8b96fff97b3eeb21b54615da86228
- Realised P&L
- $-0.39
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $14.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.705 | $14.10 | +$3.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.510Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend?
- +$0.02at 0.900Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Israel strike Iran on Monday?
- +$0.00at 0.640WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)
- +$-0.00at 0.770Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 06:29 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 10-17 05:01 | Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend? | BUY | 0.5099999341 | $2.40 |
| 10-08 10:11 | Will Israel strike Iran on Monday? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:24 | Trump wins every swing state? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.98 |
| 09-13 09:24 | Titans vs. Jets | SELL | 0.63 | $1.93 |
| 09-13 09:24 | Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.5k |
| 09-13 09:12 | Trump wins every swing state? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:12 | Titans vs. Jets | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:11 | Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.5k |
| 09-13 09:09 | Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.28 |
| 09-13 09:09 | Will $BTC reach 70k before October? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.95 |
| 09-13 09:09 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or? | SELL | 0.958 | $3.99 |
| 09-13 09:09 | Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 09-13 08:58 | WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R) | BUY | 0.64 | $0.28 |
| 09-13 08:57 | Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? | BUY | 0.7699995486 | $0.29 |