0x857FDD45b3b9Bf70b2f677AD456a88bBC422039F-1772320428369
0x857fdd45b3b9bf70b2f677ad456a88bbc422039f
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $190.6k
- Markets traded
- 474
- Open portfolio
- $443.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded474
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$797.98at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$463.81at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$442.78at 0.387Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$415.07at 0.561Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$402.01at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 15:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999991 | $130.00 |
| 07-18 09:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:51 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? | BUY | 0.0753922185 | $92.38 |
| 06-09 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 10:24 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $123.00 |
| 05-30 19:39 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.6447974571 | $123.00 |
| 05-30 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 19:42 | Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999953 | $13.00 |