PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

evilsky

0x857e87c1da59d61171aae9acdea278efd082f0b2

Realised P&L
$-8.03
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$17.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.3000.520$5.20+$2.20
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0660.042$3.20−$1.80
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0670.029$2.65−$3.34
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · Yes0.3900.745$1.91+$0.91
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? · Yes0.2730.220$1.61−$0.39
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? · Yes0.1000.085$0.85−$0.15
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.0570.044$0.78−$0.22
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? · No0.1400.105$0.75−$0.25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0690.039$0.57−$0.43
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · No0.1200.041$0.34−$0.66
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 · Over0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 05:22Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0599999988$2.00
08-16 10:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?BUY0.05$1.00
08-16 10:19Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-15 14:23Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.0569999484$1.00
08-15 14:22Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
08-15 14:22Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
08-15 14:21Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?BUY0.1$1.00
08-15 00:14Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?SELL0.0369775171$1.13
08-15 00:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.59$6.32
08-15 00:11Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.4$2.00
08-09 10:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-09 10:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-09 10:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
08-06 11:22Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.059999989$5.00
08-03 04:40Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?BUY0.2731706538$2.00