evilsky
0x857e87c1da59d61171aae9acdea278efd082f0b2
- Realised P&L
- $-8.03
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $17.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.20at 0.048Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$9.76at 0.170US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$4.24at 0.195Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$3.32at 0.280US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.03at 0.497Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 05:22 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:19 | Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 14:23 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0569999484 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 14:22 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-15 14:22 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 08-15 14:21 | Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 00:14 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.0369775171 | $1.13 |
| 08-15 00:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $6.32 |
| 08-15 00:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 10:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 10:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 10:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 11:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 04:40 | Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | BUY | 0.2731706538 | $2.00 |