PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x857d94c7dfa33e52d6851d570dcc97ba93df8ead

Realised P&L
$-100.21
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$21.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3280.065$11.12$44.94
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1780.055$10.65$23.92
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0250.000$0.00$10.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:01Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.025$10.00
07-15 20:58Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.0825$11.94
07-15 20:57Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.1175000009$17.00
07-15 20:55England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9325$18.73
07-15 20:50England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.547499983$11.00
07-14 20:25France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.095$2.60
07-14 19:47France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3649999805$10.00
07-11 23:20Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceSELL0.8625$21.36
07-11 22:51Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5649999839$14.00
07-01 03:03Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.0180000001$4.00
06-30 02:23Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-19 02:29Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?BUY0.189999988$10.00
05-24 21:04Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.1785486287$34.57
05-24 21:04Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?BUY0.3473770492$10.60
05-24 20:56Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?BUY0.3453174898$25.00