0x857d94c7dfa33e52d6851d570dcc97ba93df8ead
- Realised P&L
- $-100.21
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $21.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.065 | $11.12 | −$44.94 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.055 | $10.65 | −$23.92 |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.23at 0.582England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.51at 0.600Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$-7.52at 0.127Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$-8.34at 0.391France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:58 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0825 | $11.94 |
| 07-15 20:57 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1175000009 | $17.00 |
| 07-15 20:55 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9325 | $18.73 |
| 07-15 20:50 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.547499983 | $11.00 |
| 07-14 20:25 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.095 | $2.60 |
| 07-14 19:47 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3649999805 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:20 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.8625 | $21.36 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5649999839 | $14.00 |
| 07-01 03:03 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.0180000001 | $4.00 |
| 06-30 02:23 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 02:29 | Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 21:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.1785486287 | $34.57 |
| 05-24 21:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.3473770492 | $10.60 |
| 05-24 20:56 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.3453174898 | $25.00 |