awo2432
0x857d4ad7bb758a8c3e90db576ab1c9e8c786f526
- Realised P&L
- $-407.08
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,115
- Open portfolio
- $141.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,115
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.17at 0.120Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$42.05at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$30.55at 0.491Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$27.40at 0.502Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$19.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.9399998485 | $4.84 |
| 10-22 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-22 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.23 |
| 10-22 03:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.59 |
| 10-22 03:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.3399999841 | $1.71 |
| 10-22 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.8299999941 | $4.20 |
| 10-22 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-22 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.8299999941 | $4.20 |
| 10-22 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.780124978 | $3.95 |
| 10-22 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.9799998852 | $4.95 |
| 10-22 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.55999993 | $2.88 |
| 10-22 01:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.051 | $0.72 |
| 10-21 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.5903225426 | $3.05 |
| 10-21 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.5099999442 | $2.65 |
| 10-21 21:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |