777770
0x85794f5fe83a329d442a5f2f3d6ce3c80f13992d
- Realised P&L
- $-285.09
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $39.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.969 | $29.05 | +$13.76 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.911 | 0.980 | $9.79 | +$0.68 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$3.30 |
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $0.29 | −$0.87 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $0.22 | −$0.80 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$239.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.32at 0.380Bulls vs. Grizzlies
- +$232.20at 0.550Magic vs. Hawks
- +$212.31at 0.286Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$192.50at 0.450Lakers vs. Pistons
- +$50.40at 0.579Celtics vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? | SELL | 0.52 | $11.41 |
| 05-18 06:07 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.961 | $192.20 |
| 05-17 03:48 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.981 | $196.20 |
| 05-09 05:34 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $9.10 |
| 04-24 05:58 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.28 | $81.44 |
| 04-01 02:05 | Pacers vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.63 | $74.54 |
| 03-30 10:39 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | BUY | 0.998 | $598.80 |
| 03-28 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $0.98 |
| 03-25 03:44 | Bulls vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.32 | $127.36 |
| 03-24 22:28 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.02 |
| 03-24 22:27 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.60 |
| 03-23 04:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.58 | $57.99 |
| 03-23 03:20 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.65 | $19.53 |
| 03-23 03:19 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.32 | $22.40 |
| 03-23 02:18 | Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys | BUY | 0.027 | $1.35 |