PolyBot

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Traders

Oegg7787

0x8573fe34ed1b054f6bf6c2126e111d81d62b75ee

Realised P&L
$-16.89
Volume
$725.46
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$8.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.9260.961$5.19+$0.19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8600.815$1.90−$0.10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7100.645$0.91−$0.09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5230.443$0.85−$0.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$1.75
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$2.25
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.5250.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 17:03Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.845$1.12
09-30 17:01NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$1.05
09-30 17:01NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.87$1.02
09-30 17:01Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?SELL0.988$2.51
09-24 20:09Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?BUY0.7699999843$1.96
09-24 20:08Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.78$2.00
09-20 21:36Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.8469999258$1.13
09-20 21:35Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8599997764$2.00
09-20 21:34Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.7799998674$2.00
09-20 21:34NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-20 21:34NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.849999915$1.00
09-20 21:31Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-20 21:31Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5229999697$1.00
09-20 21:28Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.9259999922$5.00
09-20 21:26Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?SELL0.78$0.87