Oegg7787
0x8573fe34ed1b054f6bf6c2126e111d81d62b75ee
- Realised P&L
- $-16.89
- Volume
- $725.46
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $8.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.41at 0.470US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$1.67at 0.808Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.50at 0.408Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$1.20at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$1.19at 0.632Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 17:03 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.845 | $1.12 |
| 09-30 17:01 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.05 |
| 09-30 17:01 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.02 |
| 09-30 17:01 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.51 |
| 09-24 20:09 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | BUY | 0.7699999843 | $1.96 |
| 09-24 20:08 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8469999258 | $1.13 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:34 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.7799998674 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:31 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5229999697 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:28 | Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.9259999922 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:26 | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.87 |