Terryvel22
0x856b74424cd98108453294eef12148aa67c1f305
- Realised P&L
- $9.4k
- Volume
- $638.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.325 | $1.0k | −$18.27 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.064 | $270.68 | −$85.72 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.009 | $167.24 | −$173.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.609Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.4kat 0.025Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$431.66at 0.274Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$117.62at 0.597Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$11.89at 0.043Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 15:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.101 | $3.23 |
| 10-21 15:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0997120823 | $3.49 |
| 10-21 15:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0919503352 | $56.10 |
| 10-21 15:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.082 | $13.61 |
| 10-21 13:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.35 | $370.30 |
| 10-21 13:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 10-21 08:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.37 | $15.17 |
| 10-21 08:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.37 | $196.47 |
| 10-21 00:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.072 | $34.24 |
| 10-21 00:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.016 | $232.00 |
| 10-20 21:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.37 | $30.30 |
| 10-20 21:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.069 | $48.30 |
| 10-20 21:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.02 | $30.00 |
| 10-20 18:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.0220726143 | $2.38 |
| 10-20 17:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |