PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ardenypoput1

0x8560d946081afecefe33c218a58b63b8e05271b0

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$31.7k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$26.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.7900.695$11.64$1.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.5500.515$10.95$0.74
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2300.081$3.62$6.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 15:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?BUY0.55$11.70
09-09 15:38Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.73$11.74
08-17 14:51Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.79$25.94
07-09 23:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.822$21.55
07-09 23:25Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?SELL0.769660596$9.30
07-09 23:25Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.198$12.87
06-25 13:41Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?BUY0.84$10.15
05-05 21:41FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.94$9.54
04-30 21:56US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.998$1.1k
02-13 04:21US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.89$9.57
12-31 03:26Maduro out by January 31, 2026?BUY0.91$20.21
10-20 23:57Mariners vs. Blue JaysBUY0.46$1.0k
10-20 12:24Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.936$18.72
10-20 12:24Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.23$10.35
10-20 12:24Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.29$18.85