PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe2ba99E8724Ac8489dffF688e27387995D2B5F9b-1760915937441

0x855f6e962367764d9bbfdc79ff8d88c6cb09e07e

Realised P&L
$11.60
Volume
$673.52
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$4.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Evo Morales arrested by September 30? · Yes0.2830.256$4.53$0.47
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$1.00
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$15.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.00
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$1.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0950.000$0.00$5.00
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 03:27UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-16 03:04UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)SELL0.87$4.63
08-16 02:59UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.8899999555$2.00
08-16 02:43UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-16 02:12UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-12 23:14Evo Morales arrested by September 30?BUY0.2827116531$5.00
07-19 21:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0949999845$5.00
07-19 21:08Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.05$5.00
07-19 21:08Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0874999922$10.00
07-19 19:31Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2349999847$10.00
07-19 18:30Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.34999993$2.00
07-15 19:03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.29999997$5.00
07-14 20:24Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.0274999735$1.00
07-14 20:24Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.875$14.70
07-14 19:18Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2974999704$5.00