LecomtedeSaint-Germain
0x855f0cadcd2e0c720d30b76c9a6fd65d2f17e9bf
- Realised P&L
- $1.60
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $26.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.805 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $9.79 | −$0.21 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.235 | $4.70 | −$0.30 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.960 | 0.979 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.625 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.32at 0.947Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?
- +$2.72at 0.934Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September?
- +$1.59at 0.396Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
- +$1.37at 0.867Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 30?
- +$1.22at 0.155Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:35 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.33 |
| 10-01 17:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 17:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.91 |
| 10-01 17:25 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:23 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.06 |
| 10-01 17:22 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 12:01 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 12:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:12 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.82 |
| 10-01 11:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.91 |
| 10-01 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 07:00 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $18.83 |