0x855af5d91fd8ad557c7a0eefb1f8bcc298dc3307
0x855af5d91fd8ad557c7a0eefb1f8bcc298dc3307
- Realised P&L
- $31.47
- Volume
- $118.18
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $29.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar26.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.400 | 1.000 | $12.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.395 | $7.11 | −$1.89 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.425 | $5.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.59at 0.252Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$10.91at 0.324Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
- +$5.03at 0.507Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$4.45at 0.538Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?
- +$3.05at 0.628Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:04 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 07:03 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 07:03 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 07:00 | Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 10:57 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.00 |
| 10-26 13:53 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 06:55 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 06:55 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 06:54 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 15:38 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 15:37 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 10:40 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 07:57 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |