B2twarminius
0x8545d1ec0d9ac54b45c15ef528062614e09eada5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $465.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $97.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.070US military action against Iran by Saturday?
- +$1.2kat 0.147US military action against Iran by Sunday?
- +$996.99at 0.301Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
- +$274.44at 0.602Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?
- +$155.31at 0.056 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 03:31 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.181250302 | $86.39 |
| 08-20 03:29 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%? | SELL | 0.9779844789 | $88.21 |
| 08-19 01:30 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-19 01:20 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.00 |
| 08-18 23:48 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%? | BUY | 0.3879999957 | $35.00 |
| 08-18 23:47 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 23:46 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | SELL | 0.9500089757 | $753.59 |
| 08-18 16:05 | Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 16:05 | Will Jay Collins win the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 16:01 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.0248675794 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 16:00 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | BUY | 0.5499999963 | $60.00 |
| 08-18 15:58 | Will Jay Collins win the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.0076009983 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 15:58 | Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 15:56 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | BUY | 0.5992691839 | $410.00 |
| 08-18 15:56 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.0450446933 | $15.00 |