PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skillboy

0x8544ef91221303bafee262fde06cf5b8e6183abe

Realised P&L
$-167.70
Volume
$132.3k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$137.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5700.405$40.50$16.50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5600.405$40.50$15.50
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3300.305$30.50$2.50
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.225$22.50+$0.50
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$3.28$16.42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.9360.000$0.00$131.00
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 10:16Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.22$22.00
09-09 10:16Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.33$33.00
09-09 10:16Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.602$12.04
07-31 13:19Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.56$56.00
07-31 13:17Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.57$57.00
07-31 13:16Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.85$113.90
07-31 13:16Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.002$14.16
06-19 11:17Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.003$21.23
06-19 11:17Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8934$17.87
05-29 14:58Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.003$19.71
05-29 14:57Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.981$77.50
04-09 03:58Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.87$116.58
04-09 03:56Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.007$36.38
03-29 02:20Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.972$76.79
02-26 11:36Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.004$20.79