BEM27
0x853cf39793472815f7d838fbe0164e4c8a6dd854
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $28.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on November 3? · No | 0.940 | 0.905 | $13.57 | −$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 2? · No | 0.870 | 0.951 | $7.60 | +$0.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 3? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $7.25 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 20? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 31? · No | 0.901 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27? · No | 0.937 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? · No | 0.888 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 20? · No | 0.932 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.56at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 22?
- +$2.52at 0.830Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?
- +$2.37at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?
- +$2.30at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?
- +$2.27at 0.872Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 10-30 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 10-26 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 10-20 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 10-19 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.871999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.22 |
| 10-14 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-14 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.666 | $4.66 |
| 10-14 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-12 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |