WarriorPooh
0x853c37a959a5791b849e3f3225c7f5963746bd03
- Realised P&L
- $172.2k
- Volume
- $10.00M
- Markets traded
- 725
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded725
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.3kat 0.672US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$27.1kat 0.532Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$17.7kat 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.2kat 0.372Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$10.8kat 0.050US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:40 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8767252024 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 19:39 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7008722084 | $112.98 |
| 11-01 18:13 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2724543683 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 17:35 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2692789214 | $3.5k |
| 11-01 17:32 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2615059975 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 16:34 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.9370237027 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 00:15 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.7175978593 | $4.7k |
| 10-31 20:19 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.975 | $139.00 |
| 10-31 20:09 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $24.50 |
| 10-30 17:19 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1345697085 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 16:06 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0886384932 | $20.66 |
| 10-30 16:05 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3258227658 | $303.44 |
| 10-30 14:46 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.8342244674 | $485.52 |
| 10-30 14:11 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.4963142695 | $385.13 |
| 10-30 03:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | SELL | 0.2224140812 | $268.90 |