PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8538364f18f471Ea09003455Bc63054a8359bD41-1770242660586

0x8538364f18f471ea09003455bc63054a8359bd41

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$176.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$698.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.1630.135$456.26−$95.74
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · Yes0.0710.034$241.96−$265.84
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$27.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3250.000$0.00−$51.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$25.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.3360.000$0.00−$121.95
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00−$69.65
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$46.50
Rams vs. Broncos · Rams0.5000.000$0.00−$75.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$443.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 04:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?BUY0.2199999998$109.00
11-01 03:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.063559678$237.80
11-01 00:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.08$270.00
10-28 19:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?BUY0.1684242091$337.00
10-28 18:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0287542877$345.00
10-28 18:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?BUY0.1199999999$106.00
10-28 17:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0191123475$98.80
10-28 15:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0171728698$432.22
10-27 23:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.033$5.54
10-27 23:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0310783171$179.10
10-27 23:04Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4215969422$423.83
10-27 04:13Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5739605045$577.00
10-27 04:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0491733058$946.00
10-27 03:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0246840494$152.35
10-27 03:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0321674234$771.91