PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jacksonofalltrades

0x8533d610140c94c7f7073abbbc4ec0062a9000d3

Realised P&L
$-5.81
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$704.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes0.3420.340$297.91−$2.09
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0970.116$179.39+$29.39
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.3030.280$73.92−$6.08
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1540.215$69.81+$19.81
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0350.075$39.27+$21.27
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.2100.107$15.29−$14.71
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.1540.085$8.85−$7.15
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1690.018$6.57−$53.43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0900.055$6.11−$3.89
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2900.235$3.24−$0.76
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.5200.815$3.13+$1.13
Will Walker Kessler win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? · Yes0.0500.032$0.63−$0.37
Will Amen Thompson win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? · Yes0.0530.028$0.52−$0.48
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 07:22Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0346069177$18.00
10-24 04:32Will Walker Kessler win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY0.05$1.00
10-24 04:26Will Amen Thompson win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY0.0529999987$1.00
10-24 04:24Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.1689959367$60.00
10-24 04:23Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.1543562771$50.00
10-20 09:23Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.1536116745$16.00
10-20 09:22Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.303030303$80.00
10-20 09:21Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
10-20 09:1976ers vs. KnicksBUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-20 09:17Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.6269999928$20.00
10-20 09:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2899999884$4.00
10-20 09:132026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.0899999993$10.00
10-20 09:09Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.3423869028$300.00
10-20 09:05Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.2099999998$30.00
10-20 09:03Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0965755921$150.00