Puny-Brand
0x852d1e2214fd29ffac51943c7ada86e7d9d2f63a
- Realised P&L
- $279.69
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 639
- Open portfolio
- $10.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded639
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.038 | $2.99 | +$0.37 |
| Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · No | 0.691 | 1.000 | $1.59 | +$0.49 |
| Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.994 | $1.29 | +$0.19 |
| Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.990 | $1.21 | +$0.11 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.785 | $1.08 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.120 | $1.01 | +$0.60 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.155 | $0.85 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.65at 0.011XRP Up or Down - August 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$25.74at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?
- +$10.80at 0.634Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on June 26?
- +$10.44at 0.424Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 23?
- +$10.11at 0.284Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.41 |
| 10-20 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? | BUY | 0.0314285714 | $1.10 |
| 10-20 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? | BUY | 0.0419999987 | $1.10 |
| 10-20 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.40 |
| 10-20 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.02 |
| 10-20 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.0491251262 | $1.10 |
| 10-19 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.10 |
| 10-19 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.10 |
| 10-18 23:31 | Will CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.7299999735 | $1.10 |
| 10-18 21:16 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.07 |
| 10-18 21:13 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.7399998924 | $1.10 |
| 10-18 16:57 | Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $0.98 |
| 10-18 16:57 | Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $0.06 |
| 10-18 16:55 | Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) | BUY | 0.539999784 | $1.10 |
| 10-18 16:36 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.10 |