rbell
0x852bbc19e92341d16d37998a6e007ed407b5edf4
- Realised P&L
- $-73.29
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $54.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.870 | $38.66 | +$6.22 |
| Spread: Alabama (-7.5) · Alabama | 0.540 | 0.505 | $15.94 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.59at 0.640Solana above $190 on February 14?
- +$8.85at 0.730Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$2.11at 0.744Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$1.53at 0.600Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$0.47at 0.977Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:31 | Spread: Alabama (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5399999867 | $17.05 |
| 01-31 14:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9819999988 | $9.45 |
| 01-30 15:53 | Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.34 |
| 01-30 15:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.36 |
| 01-30 15:00 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.74 |
| 01-30 13:02 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999684 | $19.37 |
| 12-30 11:57 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.37 |
| 12-29 23:36 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999554 | $7.65 |
| 12-29 23:03 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.31 |
| 12-29 22:36 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.05 |
| 12-29 20:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999902 | $31.87 |
| 10-30 23:10 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.60 |
| 10-30 20:37 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.55 |
| 09-29 09:42 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999635 | $17.35 |
| 09-29 04:29 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.25 |