dftw
0x851e85a07a64a524f9240167b02a295b943d8439
- Realised P&L
- $-324.67
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $211.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.615 | 0.585 | $88.12 | −$4.56 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.625 | $73.52 | −$0.59 |
| France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.630 | 0.635 | $50.27 | +$0.40 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.615 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.77 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar · Taylor Fritz | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.42 |
| Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5) · Syria | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.15 |
| Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5) · Republic of Ireland | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.86 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.685 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.35 |
| Adana: Teodora Kostovic vs Dalma Galfi · Dalma Galfi | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.84 |
| CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.60 |
| Finland vs. Belarus: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.48 |
| Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 England? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.83 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings · Golden State Valkyries | 0.672 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.75 |
| China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz · Learner Tien | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.58 |
| China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina · Daria Kasatkina | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.35at 0.647Steelers vs. Browns
- +$44.80at 0.633Finland vs. Belarus: O/U 0.5
- +$43.82at 0.686Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev
- +$37.91at 0.671Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?
- +$34.60at 0.632Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:22 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | SELL | 0.999 | $74.86 |
| 10-02 11:06 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | SELL | 0.999 | $57.38 |
| 10-02 10:22 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.63 | $74.11 |
| 10-02 10:03 | Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Sijia Wei | SELL | 0.999 | $112.19 |
| 10-02 10:03 | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis | SELL | 0.999 | $128.16 |
| 10-02 09:54 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.7 | $52.45 |
| 10-02 09:06 | France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $49.87 |
| 10-02 09:01 | France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $43.48 |
| 10-02 08:41 | France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $49.20 |
| 10-02 08:28 | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis | BUY | 0.72 | $38.33 |
| 10-02 08:28 | China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis | BUY | 0.72 | $54.04 |
| 10-02 08:21 | M25 Darwin: Philip Sekulic vs Herman Hoeyeraal | BUY | 0.67 | $49.96 |
| 10-02 08:10 | China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.79 | $45.38 |
| 10-02 07:19 | Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Sijia Wei | BUY | 0.81 | $90.96 |
| 10-02 07:04 | China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry | SELL | 0.999 | $65.02 |