winwinwin518
0x851cf4d20c516df925e0ac5c6a0420873256346c
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $51.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.100 | $51.05 | −$20.42 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025? · No | 0.182 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.709Aster all time high by December 31?
- +$381.53at 0.807Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
- +$258.94at 0.780Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$192.90at 0.718Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$81.13at 0.312US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 11:52 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $71.48 |
| 01-18 14:52 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $65.09 |
| 01-18 14:51 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 01-18 14:51 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 01-18 14:50 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 01-18 14:50 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 01-16 14:07 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $170.99 |
| 01-16 14:05 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6002773723 | $4.11 |
| 01-16 14:05 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 01-16 14:05 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 01-16 14:05 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $15.50 |
| 01-16 14:05 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.38 |
| 01-16 14:04 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $174.31 |
| 01-16 14:03 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $21.12 |
| 01-16 14:03 | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |