0x851866b67722db7fe1426d1a317d2c3426eb1908
0x851866b67722db7fe1426d1a317d2c3426eb1908
- Realised P&L
- $22.22
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $172.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.970 | 0.967 | $172.04 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.23at 0.870Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$1.20at 0.987Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16?
- +$1.05at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17?
- +$0.90at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 17?
- +$0.60at 0.995Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 03:04 | APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9696629213 | $172.60 |
| 05-15 03:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.967 | $174.06 |
| 03-30 12:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.87 | $156.60 |
| 03-30 12:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 03-19 06:05 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | BUY | 0.995 | $149.25 |
| 03-17 11:25 | Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 03-16 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 03-16 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 03-16 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16? | BUY | 0.987 | $148.05 |
| 03-15 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $69.86 |
| 03-15 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $77.02 |
| 03-15 01:51 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on March 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 03-14 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $151.85 |