PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Heatblast-

0x85176f08a3272aa5dae08a7bdb491b5d2b7f817a

Realised P&L
$-10.65
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$253.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? · Yes0.0470.881$15.68+$14.85
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 14? · No0.9800.999$8.15+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14? · Yes0.3101.000$5.00+$3.45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15? · No0.7501.000$5.00+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15? · No0.8201.000$5.00+$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14? · Yes0.5201.000$5.00+$2.40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 14? · No0.9730.998$4.99+$0.13
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15? · No0.8900.997$4.99+$0.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on October 14? · No0.8900.987$4.93+$0.48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 15? · No0.8200.963$4.81+$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 15? · No0.8100.850$4.25+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.9000.825$4.13−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 15? · No0.9730.993$4.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 15? · No0.8000.805$4.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15? · No0.6900.775$3.88+$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 19:07Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 16?BUY0.7861477348$1.00
10-14 19:05Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 15?BUY0.016$1.00
10-14 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-14 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-14 18:02Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 15?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-14 18:01Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 15?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-14 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-14 17:50Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-14 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-14 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-14 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-14 17:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-14 17:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-14 17:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.7699995842$1.00
10-14 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00