marktwaindaddy333
0x85075cf2dc000cd790d2b9b6f28c3ab13d4c8a79
- Realised P&L
- $16.8k
- Volume
- $438.7k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $249.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.110Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$3.6kat 0.259RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
- +$3.1kat 0.016Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$2.7kat 0.006Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$2.5kat 0.305Biden drops out of presidential race?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:36 | Spread: Packers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5099999959 | $27.44 |
| 09-23 20:33 | Spread: Packers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5099999995 | $225.00 |
| 01-13 15:54 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $52.94 |
| 01-13 14:37 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.126 | $51.20 |
| 01-13 01:38 | Spread: Texans (-3.5) | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 01-13 01:36 | Spread: Texans (-6.5) | BUY | 0.2826208574 | $19.15 |
| 01-13 01:14 | Spread: Texans (-6.5) | BUY | 0.359999976 | $6.00 |
| 01-13 01:13 | Spread: Texans (-6.5) | BUY | 0.3599999931 | $25.00 |
| 01-12 20:30 | Spread: Texans (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4299999992 | $231.00 |
| 01-10 04:55 | Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $573.15 |
| 01-10 00:06 | Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999838 | $11.00 |
| 01-10 00:05 | Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999977 | $31.00 |
| 01-10 00:03 | Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | BUY | 0.469999999 | $227.65 |
| 01-09 03:47 | Spread: Miami (-3.5) | SELL | 0.8282699305 | $100.15 |
| 01-09 03:46 | Spread: Miami (-3.5) | SELL | 0.84 | $70.00 |