PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

ElJefeGrande

0x8506af3b16761252e4882fd2f156ad6291152a45

Realised P&L
$-245.92
Volume
$98.0k
Markets traded
1,902
Open portfolio
$416.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,902
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 6?BUY0.91$22.98
08-04 15:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.97$24.49
08-04 15:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.99$46.35
08-04 14:18Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5?BUY0.97$24.49
08-04 13:02Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.999$25.22
08-04 11:03Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.999$25.22
08-04 09:28Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4?SELL0.999$50.46
08-04 07:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 5?BUY0.9892079208$24.98
08-03 22:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.98$25.00
08-03 17:55Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 3?SELL0.999$11.11
08-03 17:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.9476237624$23.93
08-03 13:51Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.999$25.48
08-03 13:39Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3?SELL0.999$50.61
08-03 12:02Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.999$25.22
08-03 10:38Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.999$7.99
Trader ElJefeGrande · PolyBot