ElJefeGrande
0x8506af3b16761252e4882fd2f156ad6291152a45
- Realised P&L
- $-245.92
- Volume
- $98.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,902
- Open portfolio
- $416.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,902
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.20at 0.248Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on March 16?
- +$23.57at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?
- +$18.95at 0.121Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?
- +$17.66at 0.349Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?
- +$9.76at 0.495Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $22.98 |
| 08-04 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $24.49 |
| 08-04 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $46.35 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $24.49 |
| 08-04 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.22 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.22 |
| 08-04 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.46 |
| 08-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9892079208 | $24.98 |
| 08-03 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.11 |
| 08-03 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9476237624 | $23.93 |
| 08-03 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.48 |
| 08-03 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.61 |
| 08-03 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.22 |
| 08-03 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.99 |