0x8500aa32bd1e455b3300928a4b20a1aaa3e35aca
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $0.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.73 | −$0.82 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-6.92at 0.062Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0031836735 | $1.56 |
| 11-01 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:23 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.05 | $24.43 |
| 11-01 11:47 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $29.32 |