nicksam991
0x84fb84f9cd25bb4c13b137cd121cd1af417820ad
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $64.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $2.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.79at 0.188No airdrop in 2025?
- +$35.02at 0.270Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
- +$34.72at 0.360Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$22.71at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$22.45at 0.478Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 11:08 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:03 | Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:03 | Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.065 | $12.28 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0749999952 | $14.17 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.09 | $10.03 |
| 07-19 20:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3849999952 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 20:52 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.46 |
| 07-19 20:52 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.43 |
| 07-19 20:39 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.77 |
| 07-18 08:07 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 08:06 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 16:59 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 07-17 14:53 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0409999622 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 14:52 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0129999974 | $5.00 |