PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

nicksam991

0x84fb84f9cd25bb4c13b137cd121cd1af417820ad

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$64.9k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$2.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0280.024$0.86$0.14
Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0190.013$0.68$0.32
Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0100.005$0.55$0.45
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$50.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up0.4310.000$0.00$30.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$4.60
Over $10M committed to the Bitway public sale? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$570.00
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Over $5M committed to the Bitway public sale? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00$298.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.2820.000$0.00$44.55
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$19.39
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No0.0100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 11:08SBF released from custody in 2026?BUY0.0279999998$1.00
09-12 11:03Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
09-12 11:03Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.019$1.00
07-19 21:56Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.065$12.28
07-19 21:52Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0749999952$14.17
07-19 21:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.09$10.03
07-19 20:53Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3849999952$20.00
07-19 20:52Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?SELL0.019$0.46
07-19 20:52Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?SELL0.01$0.43
07-19 20:39Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?SELL0.002$0.77
07-18 08:07Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-18 08:06Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-17 16:59Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
07-17 14:53Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
07-17 14:52Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0129999974$5.00