PoePoe
0x84f88ecd30fad949a5b0c06a780778d6d58fd7bd
- Realised P&L
- $-24.7k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $16.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.485 | $16.54 | +$10.29 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? · No | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.6kat 0.243Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
- +$18.1kat 0.561Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$8.7kat 0.744Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$4.7kat 0.861Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.5kat 0.160MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 15:21 | Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.20 |
| 03-03 15:11 | USD - Korean Won exchange rate hits 1,500 by March 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.90 |
| 01-31 05:19 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.96 |
| 01-21 06:03 | Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison? | BUY | 0.89 | $252.87 |
| 01-21 05:49 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.68 | $275.60 |
| 01-03 17:33 | Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | BUY | 0.8966238199 | $177.59 |
| 01-03 17:21 | Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-18 15:10 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? | BUY | 0.951 | $234.10 |
| 11-18 13:56 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? | SELL | 0.3 | $62.27 |
| 11-18 10:57 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? | BUY | 0.083 | $8.30 |
| 11-18 04:17 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? | SELL | 0.03 | $79.51 |
| 10-15 11:02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) | SELL | 0.99 | $2.1k |
| 10-15 07:46 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) | BUY | 0.07 | $12.36 |
| 10-15 07:32 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) | SELL | 0.19 | $259.98 |
| 10-03 19:03 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15? | SELL | 0.3002394493 | $250.78 |