allin69
0x84f122461f83b9b49b9cdd81943929800b62474c
- Realised P&L
- $-29.1k
- Volume
- $1.66M
- Markets traded
- 886
- Open portfolio
- $760.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded886
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.545Bitcoin above $112K on August 27?
- +$5.0kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10 AM ET
- +$3.8kat 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12 AM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8 PM ET
- +$2.1kat 0.500Bitcoin above $110K on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:39 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.61 | $42.70 |
| 11-01 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.84 |
| 11-01 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | SELL | 0.84 | $941.54 |
| 11-01 10:01 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2? | BUY | 0.72 | $144.00 |
| 11-01 05:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.48 | $405.12 |
| 11-01 05:29 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on November 2? | BUY | 0.467195572 | $126.61 |
| 11-01 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 11-01 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.7 | $350.00 |
| 11-01 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $166.83 |
| 10-30 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $263.58 |
| 10-30 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5927798556 | $296.38 |
| 10-30 04:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6095238095 | $640.00 |
| 10-30 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 10-30 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $7.68 |
| 10-30 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6075005358 | $85.04 |