SYGN
0x84ed22516696d4997351738e8678b4618042011b
- Realised P&L
- $19.47
- Volume
- $459.65
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $120.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? · Yes | 0.875 | 0.959 | $109.58 | +$9.58 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.765 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · No | 0.939 | 0.960 | $3.07 | +$0.07 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? · No | 0.700 | 0.955 | $2.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.294 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? · No | 0.157 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.05at 0.855Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$6.90at 0.420Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$3.93at 0.560Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$2.45at 0.550Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$1.94at 0.720Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 07:44 | Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? | BUY | 0.8746763697 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 11:28 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8499999962 | $100.00 |
| 04-14 13:37 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 02-13 08:40 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 08:40 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 08:40 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.9389999953 | $3.00 |
| 02-13 08:39 | Anduril IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.699999755 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 08:36 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 02-08 10:09 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 10:46 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 01-14 14:44 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 18:07 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399999395 | $5.00 |
| 11-21 20:15 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.551 | $5.88 |
| 11-08 04:09 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 11-04 00:19 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |