PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SYGN

0x84ed22516696d4997351738e8678b4618042011b

Realised P&L
$19.47
Volume
$459.65
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$120.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? · Yes0.8750.959$109.58+$9.58
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7900.765$4.84$0.16
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9390.960$3.07+$0.07
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.7000.955$2.73+$0.73
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.5800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00$5.00
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? · Yes0.5750.000$0.00$6.00
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$5.00
OpenAI browser by October 31? · No0.1570.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 07:44Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?BUY0.8746763697$100.00
06-10 11:28Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8499999962$100.00
04-14 13:37Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
02-13 08:40Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.66$1.00
02-13 08:40Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
02-13 08:40China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.9389999953$3.00
02-13 08:39Anduril IPO before 2027?BUY0.699999755$2.00
02-13 08:36Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?BUY0.7199998618$5.00
02-08 10:09Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?BUY0.8199999836$5.00
01-22 10:46Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7899999826$5.00
01-14 14:44Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
01-12 18:07Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?BUY0.8399999395$5.00
11-21 20:15Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?SELL0.551$5.88
11-08 04:09Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
11-04 00:19Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?BUY0.5499999633$3.00