winwinws
0x84eab97ac07614c02e8f64428fab7707f85efa29
- Realised P&L
- $26.21
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $248.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.493 | $166.07 | +$23.95 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.215 | $69.70 | −$30.30 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.755 | $12.38 | +$2.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.45at 0.529Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
- +$135.14at 0.468Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$0.55at 0.718Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$-18.46at 0.145Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?
- +$-237.45at 0.433Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:26 | Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31? | SELL | 0.1257142857 | $8.80 |
| 10-13 14:25 | Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31? | SELL | 0.1363811792 | $136.26 |
| 10-13 13:51 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.2192990418 | $156.08 |
| 10-13 13:35 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.255 | $1.94 |
| 10-13 13:35 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.291978676 | $113.92 |
| 10-13 11:35 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.408 | $12.24 |
| 10-12 21:35 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.425 | $5.52 |
| 10-12 04:45 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.351770547 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 20:03 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3376285253 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 20:40 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.4349999952 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 20:38 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.4221330612 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 22:32 | Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.50 |
| 10-09 22:29 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.4229999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 22:17 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.404 | $12.12 |
| 10-09 22:07 | Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $56.00 |