yoAvicapital
0x84e3098f7cbc9259dd2d395e8ef9cf7adc6d3dfd
- Realised P&L
- $480.29
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $224.33
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? · No | 0.700 | 0.705 | $80.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19? · No | 0.790 | 0.765 | $77.47 | −$2.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? · No | 0.700 | 0.580 | $66.29 | −$13.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? · No | 0.795 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.93at 0.656Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 5?
- +$49.40at 0.616Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?
- +$48.02at 0.624Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?
- +$47.23at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?
- +$47.05at 0.629Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $66.76 |
| 09-18 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 09-18 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $49.59 |
| 09-17 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.68 | $41.07 |
| 09-16 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8276453472 | $40.00 |
| 09-15 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-14 22:26 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.29 |
| 09-14 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $16.76 |
| 09-13 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.74 | $16.46 |
| 09-13 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-10 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.79 | $18.49 |
| 09-10 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-09 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.8 | $43.22 |
| 09-06 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.745 | $13.41 |
| 09-06 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |