kenjhin
0x84dbf05372d9795a105601ac98b36ca37740a72e
- Realised P&L
- $-0.55
- Volume
- $259.45
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $23.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.661 | $16.52 | +$14.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.180 | $2.88 | +$1.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.255 | $1.68 | +$0.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.260 | $1.30 | +$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $1.11 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.70at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?
- +$11.25at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?
- +$5.21at 0.250Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?
- +$4.62at 0.272Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6?
- +$-1.04at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.19 |
| 10-12 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.76 |
| 10-12 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.25 |
| 10-12 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 10-12 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.77 |
| 10-12 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0974358974 | $1.90 |
| 10-09 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 10-09 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.59 |
| 10-08 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 21:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.60 |
| 10-06 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.996 | $6.35 |
| 10-06 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-05 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.27 | $0.34 |