Loose-Sunbeam
0x84d9246ed558b918ea081a8543eceb86678376db
- Realised P&L
- $-337.26
- Volume
- $515.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,749
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,749
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Casper Ruud | 0.420 | 0.415 | $345.83 | −$4.17 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud · Casper Ruud | 0.430 | 1.000 | $325.58 | +$185.58 |
| Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin · Ilia Simakin | 0.500 | 0.435 | $195.75 | −$29.25 |
| Set Handicap: Qinwen Zheng (-1.5) vs Ann Li (+1.5) · Ann Li | 0.530 | 0.500 | $150.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.385 | $115.50 | +$16.50 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.063 | $12.50 | −$31.56 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.096 | $3.84 | −$5.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.290UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamweight, Prelims)
- +$1.0kat 0.567UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$884.00at 0.325UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)
- +$861.82at 0.259Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$838.66at 0.341UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 14:27 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.4199999997 | $350.00 |
| 10-11 13:35 | Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 11:07 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $40.00 |
| 10-11 10:52 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.26 | $39.30 |
| 10-11 09:14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $140.00 |
| 10-10 12:21 | UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.45 | $6.46 |
| 10-10 12:17 | UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5299999998 | $560.00 |
| 10-08 12:30 | Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $71.40 |
| 10-08 09:25 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.23 | $32.20 |
| 10-04 14:04 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $120.00 |
| 10-04 11:16 | Villena: Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak | BUY | 0.4716877831 | $350.00 |
| 10-03 13:58 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.28 | $50.40 |
| 10-03 10:56 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $350.00 |
| 10-03 05:22 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $5.01 |
| 10-03 05:07 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |