0x84D3e37Ad85b7Ce551B0b4d6bb9C19551f73B286-1766665076069
0x84d3e37ad85b7ce551b0b4d6bb9c19551f73b286
- Realised P&L
- $6.1k
- Volume
- $819.1k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.972 | 0.977 | $2.9k | +$15.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.983 | 0.984 | $2.1k | +$1.05 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.990 | 0.991 | $1.9k | +$2.80 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.992 | 0.993 | $4.96 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$431.71at 0.977Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
- +$418.31at 0.911Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
- +$339.15at 0.974Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?
- +$329.62at 0.964Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?
- +$321.95at 0.340Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-01 00:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.13 |
| 09-30 17:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.983 | $4.92 |
| 09-30 04:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.997 | $498.50 |
| 09-28 13:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.92 |
| 09-27 12:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.988 | $41.16 |
| 09-26 09:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.67 |
| 09-25 10:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.985 | $286.59 |
| 09-25 10:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | SELL | 0.996 | $0.51 |
| 09-25 09:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.965 | $8.06 |
| 09-25 01:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.981 | $9.81 |
| 09-24 16:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 09-24 15:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.78 |
| 09-24 15:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.976 | $9.76 |
| 09-24 15:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.975 | $58.50 |