0x84d13d344e40ce0ce2124a326d9c4ffd40ab7782
- Realised P&L
- $-191.63
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $104.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? · No | 0.950 | 0.973 | $22.50 | +$0.53 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? · No | 0.954 | 0.976 | $19.77 | +$0.46 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? · Yes | 0.849 | 0.800 | $19.62 | −$1.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? · No | 0.715 | 0.875 | $15.93 | +$2.92 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? · No | 0.686 | 0.870 | $12.22 | +$2.58 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.745 | $6.53 | −$0.13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.970 | $4.55 | +$0.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · No | 0.964 | 0.990 | $3.79 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.20at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$9.10at 0.393Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$8.85at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$8.55at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$8.54at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.91 |
| 08-01 17:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.84 |
| 08-01 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $13.05 |
| 08-01 16:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.48 |
| 08-01 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.964 | $3.69 |
| 08-01 15:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.71 | $6.77 |
| 08-01 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.66 |
| 08-01 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.46 |
| 08-01 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.72 | $6.24 |
| 08-01 11:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.84 |
| 08-01 10:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.33 |
| 08-01 10:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.30 |
| 08-01 09:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.70 |
| 08-01 09:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.74 |
| 08-01 08:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.90 |