The-Finance-Alchemist
0x84d13d344e40ce0ce2124a326d9c4ffd40ab7782
- Realised P&L
- $-290.61
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $57.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? · No | 0.940 | 0.885 | $14.74 | −$0.92 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 6? · No | 0.935 | 0.925 | $12.97 | −$0.14 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7? · No | 0.906 | 0.865 | $9.99 | −$0.47 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7? · Yes | 0.835 | 0.935 | $7.95 | +$0.85 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6? · Yes | 0.885 | 0.975 | $5.57 | +$0.51 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.971 | $4.61 | +$0.24 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? · No | 0.880 | 0.815 | $1.46 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.20at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$8.89at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$8.63at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$8.55at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$8.54at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.29 |
| 10-04 22:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.01 |
| 10-04 22:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.32 |
| 10-04 21:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.10 |
| 10-04 21:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.71 |
| 10-04 18:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.76 |
| 10-04 17:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.15 |
| 10-04 17:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.04 |
| 10-04 17:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.35 |
| 10-04 16:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.42 |
| 10-04 00:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.41 |
| 10-04 00:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.21 |
| 10-03 23:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.56 |
| 10-03 23:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.82 | $3.64 |
| 10-03 23:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.48 |