kebabsa
0x84cf794ebec497caac48d9966d11de356a3d8e23
- Realised P&L
- $35.19
- Volume
- $607.33
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $64.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 25? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.490 | $13.23 | +$4.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 25? · No | 0.645 | 0.890 | $12.08 | +$3.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25? · No | 0.680 | 0.850 | $11.02 | +$2.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.485 | $10.67 | +$2.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25? · No | 0.810 | 0.975 | $9.75 | +$1.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25? · No | 0.635 | 0.540 | $7.30 | −$1.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.537 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.81at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 21?
- +$12.56at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23?
- +$12.36at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 22?
- +$11.20at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22?
- +$10.29at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.37 | $8.14 |
| 09-24 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-24 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.31 | $8.37 |
| 09-24 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-24 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.6452270794 | $8.76 |
| 09-24 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.6799999877 | $8.82 |
| 09-24 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.6350704088 | $8.58 |
| 09-24 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.3745503917 | $8.55 |
| 09-23 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-23 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.53 | $8.48 |
| 09-23 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.39 | $8.19 |
| 09-23 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.5368929668 | $8.64 |
| 09-23 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-23 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.47 | $8.46 |
| 09-23 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.81 |