vgonzales
0x84c9c14ca1accbaf637653e3eec964991f26efb8
- Realised P&L
- $-41.55
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $3.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.635 | $3.87 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.19at 0.560Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$38.66at 0.530Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$13.61at 0.698Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
- +$10.33at 0.430Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$5.01at 0.999Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:08 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.659999954 | $4.02 |
| 01-31 13:31 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.74 |
| 01-30 16:12 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999884 | $6.86 |
| 01-30 15:32 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.39 |
| 01-30 14:31 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $11.46 |
| 01-30 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.35 |
| 12-30 14:10 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999539 | $19.98 |
| 12-29 23:39 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999774 | $6.84 |
| 12-29 23:27 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999729 | $6.81 |
| 12-29 22:28 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.01 |
| 12-29 21:34 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.84 |
| 10-31 15:57 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.04 |
| 10-31 15:31 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.28 |
| 10-30 21:06 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.46 |
| 09-29 14:21 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999321 | $14.23 |