azagaza
0x84c25719abc86d33093a1ec237b2728c9b3ad33c
- Realised P&L
- $-38.47
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $241.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.365 | $154.74 | −$36.54 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No | 0.871 | 0.936 | $49.47 | +$3.44 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.305 | $19.82 | +$2.48 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.320 | 0.170 | $17.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.40at 0.374Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?
- +$9.13at 0.919Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
- +$8.10at 0.730Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$4.40at 0.958Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$3.50at 0.390Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 10:15 | Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 03-25 10:14 | Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 03-17 00:42 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 03-17 00:42 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $91.30 |
| 03-17 00:31 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 03-13 21:59 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 03-09 07:37 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.864 | $5.04 |
| 03-08 18:56 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.873 | $6.87 |
| 03-08 17:47 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.869 | $6.63 |
| 03-08 17:40 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.872 | $6.81 |
| 03-08 17:17 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.873 | $6.87 |
| 03-08 17:13 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.875 | $7.00 |
| 03-08 17:11 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.872 | $6.81 |
| 02-24 19:56 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.32 | $0.22 |
| 10-09 13:50 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.972 | $63.08 |