MonkeyDLuffy-949
0x84bd6f4e5f40f94a271709ffba42e49d128bc8d9
- Realised P&L
- $-516.00
- Volume
- $39.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $7.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.150 | $7.51 | +$2.50 |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$449.95at 0.690ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?
- +$364.87at 0.580Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
- +$151.46at 0.734Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$39.79at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$20.20at 0.040Will Solana reach $150 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 22:13 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999981 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $29.94 |
| 03-23 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $140.69 |
| 03-23 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $96.96 |
| 03-23 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.234082397 | $98.39 |
| 03-23 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $26.63 |
| 03-23 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0974430932 | $9.96 |
| 03-23 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $23.81 |
| 03-23 17:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $9.87 |
| 03-23 17:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $9.80 |
| 03-23 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $19.15 |
| 03-23 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $9.76 |
| 03-23 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $12.19 |
| 03-23 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $9.81 |
| 03-23 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $15.31 |