sdfihjsdbfb
0x84b22a7384ba14ab066ba29ff6ade1315adcd100
- Realised P&L
- $-7.12
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $125.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.86at 0.500Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$6.47at 0.500Will Owen McCarthy win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
- +$6.46at 0.500Will Timothée Chalamet attend the Oscars?
- +$6.37at 0.500Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
- +$6.36at 0.500USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 02:53 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8? | BUY | 0.85 | $44.20 |
| 03-03 06:40 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 03-03 06:36 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.06 |
| 03-03 06:35 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.95 |
| 03-03 06:34 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 03-03 06:33 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.88 |
| 03-03 06:32 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.04 |
| 03-03 06:30 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.80 |
| 03-03 03:30 | Will France strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.877 | $4.38 |
| 03-03 03:29 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars? | BUY | 0.981 | $7.85 |
| 03-03 03:28 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.936 | $7.97 |
| 03-03 03:27 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 03-03 03:27 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.831 | $5.82 |
| 03-03 02:20 | Will Russia enter Borova by March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.53 |
| 03-03 02:19 | Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.13 |