0x84Af014E14c3F1fcf52B7F41eE2Fc578252D9E87-1771536887120
0x84af014e14c3f1fcf52b7f41ee2fc578252d9e87
- Realised P&L
- $-167.98
- Volume
- $188.4k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $50.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.057 | $41.49 | +$8.38 |
| Ducks vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.550 | 0.545 | $4.96 | −$0.05 |
| Hurricanes vs. Canucks · Hurricanes | 0.720 | 0.730 | $3.72 | +$0.05 |
| Sharks vs. Bruins · Sharks | 0.290 | 0.350 | $0.51 | +$0.09 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Stars | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.96 |
| UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card) · Manuel Torres | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.75 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers · Bruins | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.75 |
| Avalanche vs. Stars · Stars | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.09 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.20 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Avalanche vs. Penguins · Penguins | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.23 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.29 |
| Kraken vs. Blue Jackets · Kraken | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.98at 0.570Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$28.79at 0.410Bruins vs. Panthers
- +$28.19at 0.487UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
- +$20.14at 0.597UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$11.92at 0.492Sharks vs. Blues
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 11:07 | Hurricanes vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.72 | $3.66 |
| 07-07 16:53 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.007 | $40.95 |
| 07-03 18:17 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 18:17 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 15:44 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.60 |
| 07-03 15:44 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 15:43 | Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 07-02 19:38 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 19:25 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.061 | $24.40 |
| 07-02 19:25 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $20.80 |
| 07-02 19:24 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.036 | $25.20 |
| 07-02 18:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.118351382 | $11.48 |
| 07-02 18:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.27 |
| 07-02 18:47 | Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 18:47 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.21 |