PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NominalValue

0x84a4852966b8986400ff834a8c049f76adc18cb2

Realised P&L
$275.60
Volume
$111.1k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0610.144$1.1k+$606.04
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5670.435$919.85−$280.14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 14:05Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0053179233$22.65
09-14 17:50US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.9017937612$1.0k
09-14 17:49Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.055$50.11
09-14 17:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.934$594.48
09-14 16:37Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.002$4.07
08-11 16:01Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5674810461$1.2k
08-10 07:57Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.1604901043$1.2k
06-27 10:04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2169999997$500.00
05-20 07:44Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.055$38.66
05-03 18:03Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.0565622161$115.16
04-30 13:41Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?SELL0.959000974$689.23
04-29 16:17Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?SELL0.13119599$44.23
04-29 16:16Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.2782793764$200.00
04-29 14:31James Comey arrested by May 15?SELL0.0586190969$65.11
04-29 14:31Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.4911730585$312.63