Gv707
0x849c8eee2c41e7fb06f5b5a3764e253b2e72b19b
- Realised P&L
- $-132.91
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $104.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.141 | $105.11 | −$141.33 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.19 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Morocco | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-04? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.99at 0.850Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$11.26at 0.776Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$11.01at 0.830Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$5.98at 0.366Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$5.78at 0.502Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 20:59 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2199999593 | $4.00 |
| 07-09 20:57 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.50 |
| 07-09 20:57 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0087122371 | $2.90 |
| 07-03 09:38 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | BUY | 0.3294246813 | $246.44 |
| 05-25 14:45 | Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7923194375 | $15.78 |
| 05-25 13:30 | Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.502136894 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 19:46 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.848 | $247.72 |
| 04-13 16:48 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9570928516 | $279.59 |
| 04-12 19:27 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.995 | $66.42 |
| 04-12 18:59 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.971 | $13.67 |
| 04-12 18:59 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.995 | $185.21 |
| 04-12 11:29 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.849999996 | $158.22 |
| 04-12 11:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $55.41 |
| 04-11 09:34 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 09:34 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |