PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

NormStormer

0x8496c56cb3c1f88138f9705c95f41b68501ea6e0

Realised P&L
$26.84
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$7.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1400.029$5.09$19.91
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0700.019$2.79$7.21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$20.00
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8? · No0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$20.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$10.00
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$10.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-09 22:27Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.1122918072$10.00
01-21 06:35Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0229246067$10.00
01-14 23:16Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.1028360265$20.00
01-14 23:15Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.1007941166$20.00
01-09 08:24Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
01-09 07:17Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?BUY0.0415841545$10.00
01-09 07:12Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
01-08 07:29U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?BUY0.0342203878$10.00
01-07 01:22Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1399999956$25.00
01-07 00:50Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.149999994$20.00
01-07 00:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?BUY0.120466287$10.00
01-07 00:27Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0515555507$10.00