NormStormer
0x8496c56cb3c1f88138f9705c95f41b68501ea6e0
- Realised P&L
- $26.84
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $7.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.029 | $5.09 | −$19.91 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.019 | $2.79 | −$7.21 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$183.97at 0.051Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 22:27 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.1122918072 | $10.00 |
| 01-21 06:35 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0229246067 | $10.00 |
| 01-14 23:16 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1028360265 | $20.00 |
| 01-14 23:15 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1007941166 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 08:24 | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 07:17 | Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | BUY | 0.0415841545 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 07:12 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 01-08 07:29 | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31? | BUY | 0.0342203878 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 01:22 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 01-07 00:50 | Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 00:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8? | BUY | 0.120466287 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 00:27 | Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0515555507 | $10.00 |