frankmendez
0x84910727af72b7acd3a8f1f0bbdeac22d66cbdcb
- Realised P&L
- $-33.76
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $83.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.920 | $36.80 | +$11.60 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.905 | $26.89 | −$0.45 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.685 | $11.88 | +$0.26 |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.830 | $6.84 | +$0.66 |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.026 | $0.90 | −$24.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.50at 0.728Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?
- +$0.91at 0.955Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$0.76at 0.915Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.968Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.17at 0.993Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 00:58 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7299999933 | $25.16 |
| 01-31 13:34 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.04 |
| 01-30 15:34 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.08 |
| 01-30 15:27 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999425 | $16.48 |
| 01-30 14:25 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.87 |
| 12-30 12:39 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.48 |
| 12-30 10:35 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.64 |
| 12-30 09:00 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.67 |
| 12-29 20:41 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.91 |
| 12-29 20:00 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9929999932 | $23.91 |
| 10-30 20:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.986 | $10.11 |
| 10-30 18:44 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9546477125 | $19.24 |
| 10-30 18:37 | Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.73 |
| 10-08 07:55 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $13.05 |
| 09-29 10:29 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.8809999993 | $14.02 |