0x8481601d77a632427cc2cb96e918be2ac07c7e96
0x8481601d77a632427cc2cb96e918be2ac07c7e96
- Realised P&L
- $33.30
- Volume
- $517.17
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.350 | $1.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.73at 0.676Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$13.31at 0.434Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
- +$10.30at 0.725Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$-6.40at 0.376Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$-10.33at 0.452Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 15:03 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 22:09 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4377395338 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 22:06 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9975 | $122.29 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.01 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0725 | $1.51 |
| 07-19 21:42 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.6299999797 | $5.60 |
| 07-19 21:33 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3624999766 | $7.56 |
| 07-19 21:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.709999997 | $30.85 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.25 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.9975 | $23.77 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7274999734 | $5.33 |
| 07-19 21:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.7299999996 | $17.24 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6424999908 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.6811451113 | $10.00 |